A developing storm could bring the Northeast its first snow of the season from Thursday through Saturday, Nov. 12–14, but the best chance for any accumulation is in the interior and the mountains, not the big coastal cities. As of Nov. 9, 2026, forecasters say the exact track is still uncertain, so snowfall totals have not been pinned down. The surest part of the forecast is a sharp drop in temperatures that begins late Friday.
When and where the snow is most likely
FOX Weather says the system could bring rain, snow and gusty winds off the coast from Thursday through Saturday. The FOX Forecast Center expects a low-pressure system to develop over the Ohio Valley later in the week and move toward the Mid-Atlantic by Friday.
On location, the two major forecasters broadly agree. AccuWeather’s Adam Douty said the interior Northeast and central Appalachians look like the likeliest areas for snow, though outside higher elevations it should struggle to accumulate. Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Binghamton and mountain areas such as the Poconos, Catskills and Berkshires have the best chance, according to a roundup of AccuWeather and FOX Weather forecasts. FOX Weather expects widespread rain across the East, with accumulating snow most likely in higher elevations of New England and the interior Northeast.
That leaves New York City, Philadelphia and Boston on the wet side. The same roundup says those cities will likely be too warm for snow because the Atlantic is still relatively mild. That is a forecast, not a guarantee, and a shift in the track could change who sees flakes.
How much snow to expect
No agency has published official snowfall totals yet. FOX Weather notes that a track closer to the coast could bring strong winds and significant coastal impacts, while a more inland track would shift where the heaviest rain and snow falls.
Central New York shows how uncertain the picture is. Syracuse station WSYR says the European model shows mainly rain with some higher-terrain snow, and possibly a bit of snow over lower terrain, including Syracuse, Friday night into Saturday. The American model shows rain changing to snow over higher terrain late Thursday night or Friday, with the possibility of accumulating wet snow at lower elevations, including Syracuse, late Friday night into Saturday. In plain terms, expect wet, heavy snow at best in valleys and a better shot at real accumulation on hills.
What it means for travel, schools and power
Because the forecasts do not yet call for a major snowstorm, no school closures, flight cancellations or outage estimates have been announced as of Nov. 9. Here is what the current setup suggests:
- Travel: Rain and gusty winds are possible along the coast. Slick, slushy spots are more likely on higher-elevation roads and mountain passes late Thursday through Saturday. Falling temperatures Friday night could leave wet roads, bridges and overpasses icy.
- Schools: Any delays would be decided by local districts, most likely in hilly interior areas. Check your district’s alerts Thursday and Friday.
- Power outages: Wet snow can weigh on trees and lines, and wind raises the risk. Outage threat depends heavily on how close the storm tracks to the coast. No outage forecast has been issued.
The bigger story: a sharp cold snap
Whatever falls from the sky, the cold is the high-confidence part. AccuWeather says forecasters have more confidence in subfreezing air being drawn down from Canada into the central and eastern states. Many places in the Midwest, Ohio Valley and parts of the South have not yet had a hard freeze, which will likely change beginning Friday night.
FOX Weather says a strong ridge over the West is pushing colder Canadian air into the Northeast while warmer air builds out West. Highs could stay in the 30s or 40s across the Northeast, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, with lows in the 20s. By Saturday, more than 160 million Americans could be below average for temperature, according to the FOX Forecast Center.
Key details
| Item | What forecasters say (as of Nov. 9, 2026) |
|---|---|
| Timing | Thursday–Saturday, Nov. 12–14 |
| Storm origin | Ohio Valley, moving toward Mid-Atlantic by Friday |
| Best snow chances | Interior Northeast, central Appalachians, Poconos, Catskills, Berkshires; cities such as Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Binghamton |
| Big coastal cities | Likely rain; too warm for snow |
| Snow totals | Not yet forecast; accumulation mostly at higher elevations |
| Cold air | Arrives late Friday; highs 30s–40s, lows 20s in many areas |
| Main uncertainty | Exact storm track, intensity and coastal winds |
FAQ
Will New York City get snow this weekend?
Unlikely, according to current forecasts, which favor rain for the big coastal cities. A track change could alter that, so keep checking the National Weather Service forecast.
Is this officially a nor’easter?
Not yet. FOX Weather describes it as a potential nor’easter, and its development depends on how the storm strengthens near the coast.
Where is the snow most likely to stick?
Higher terrain, including the Poconos, Catskills and Berkshires, and the mountains of interior New England.
Should I expect school closures or outages?
Nothing has been announced. Impacts are likely to be localized, mostly in hilly interior areas, unless the storm tracks closer to the coast.
For official updates, see the National Weather Service, and read the original reports from FOX Weather and AccuWeather. This article reflects forecasts as of Nov. 9, 2026, and may change.
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