Baltimore is seeing rain this week because a cold front is crossing Maryland, ending a long dry stretch. As of Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026, rain returned after 18 dry days, and the steadiest round is due overnight into Friday. Most of the Baltimore area should be dry again by mid-morning Friday, with a sunny, breezy and cooler weekend to follow.
Why is it raining in Baltimore this week?
The trigger is a cold front. The National Weather Service office in Sterling, Va., which covers Baltimore, says a cold front is crossing the region Thursday. Forecasters said most of the scattered, light shower activity should come through mid-morning, followed by a lull in the afternoon and evening as the front moves east.
A second ingredient adds a steadier round of rain. A wave of low pressure forming along the front is forecast to bring steadier rain overnight into Friday, with the heaviest totals in Southern Maryland. CBS Baltimore notes that isolated to scattered showers, along with a few possible thunderstorms, are likely Thursday through Friday morning.
How long will the rain last?
For the Baltimore metro, the wet weather is short. Friday morning will start rainy and damp for the commute, and the back edge of the rain should exit the Baltimore metro before 9 a.m. Rain may linger longer along Maryland’s Eastern Shore.
There is one more chance later Friday. A passing evening shower is possible with the cold front, but it will be hit or miss and won’t last long. Forecasts differ slightly on timing: one National Weather Service-based summary mentions a 40% chance of showers and patchy fog before 3 p.m. Friday, so a damp morning that lingers a bit is possible. Check the latest NWS forecast before you head out.
How much rain will fall?
Not a soaking. Most areas will receive less than 0.50 inch, except Eastern Shore communities, where totals could exceed 1 to 1.5 inches in some of the heavier rain bands. The Baltimore Chronicle, citing the NWS forecast discussion, lists 0.25 to 0.50 inch for Baltimore and areas along or just east of I-95 and 0.75 to 1.25 inches in Southern Maryland.
The same report quotes forecasters saying no flooding is expected given the 2+ week hiatus of measurable rainfall and ongoing drought concerns.
Will this rain end the dry spell?
Unlikely. The Chronicle describes the totals as helpful for lawns and streams but nowhere near enough to erase Maryland’s long-running rainfall shortfall. The Northeast Regional Climate Center reported that as of Nov. 3, USGS 7-day streamflow showed record-low flows in places including central Maryland, and groundwater levels were at record lows in central and southern Maryland. The Drought Monitor map updates on Thursdays and reflects conditions through the previous Tuesday, so this week’s rain will not show up until next week’s update at the earliest.
What comes after the rain?
Fox Baltimore’s forecast is drier and cooler for the weekend, with highs in the mid 60s Saturday and low 60s Sunday, and drier, cool weather next week with highs staying in the low 60s. Both weekend days should be sunny, but west-northwest winds of 10 to 20 mph, with gusts reaching 30 mph, will make it feel cooler. Breezy conditions continue Monday before winds ease Tuesday, when temperatures rebound into the upper 60s.
Key details
| When | What to expect (as of Nov. 5-6, 2026) |
|---|---|
| Thursday, Nov. 5 | Scattered showers, highs in the mid 70s; isolated storm possible |
| Thursday night | Steadier rain develops as low pressure forms along the front |
| Friday, Nov. 6 | Rain in the morning commute, exiting Baltimore before about 9 a.m.; highs near 70; possible passing evening shower |
| Saturday-Sunday | Dry and sunny; highs in the 60s; gusts up to about 30 mph |
| Next week | Dry and cool; breezy Monday; milder by Tuesday |
Sources for temperatures and timing: FOX45 Baltimore and CBS Baltimore. For official updates, see the National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington office.
FAQ
Will it rain on Friday in Baltimore?
Yes, mainly in the morning. Rain should leave the Baltimore metro before 9 a.m., with a small chance of a quick evening shower.
Is it going to rain this weekend in Baltimore?
Forecasts call for a dry weekend with sunshine, cooler highs in the 60s and gusty winds. Conditions can change, so check the NWS forecast.
Will there be flooding in Baltimore?
Flooding is not expected. Forecasters cited the long dry spell and drought conditions, and totals in Baltimore should be modest.
Is Maryland still in a drought?
Dry conditions persist. Streamflow and groundwater were at record lows in parts of central and southern Maryland as of Nov. 3, and this week’s rain is not expected to reverse that.
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